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I am assuming that the X-axis for the graph is time. If so, based on the graph - it appears that the real-life system has some schedule attached to it as the data trend is repetitive. The changes that you made on the plant side make sense from the supply side. Since the chiller operation follows the demand in your energy model, I would now start looking at the schedules that impact the cooling from the demand side: 1. Schedules for internal loads (particularly occupancy); 2. Thermostat schedules; 3. Schedules for fan coil unit fans;